The critical paragraph, somewhat edited by me to make the alphabet soup intelligible, and to incorporate numbers from the table, appears below. However the percentage of women reporting one or the other is always far less than the sum of the percentages of women reporting either attempts or completions, and generally is only a little higher than the percentage of women reporting attempts in each period. That suggests to me that women who report that they are victims of a completed rape are also very often reporting that they are victims of an attempted rate, in each category, and for each period examined which during the study is essentially a semester.
It would have been interesting to know the comparative incidence of rape and revictimization as between drinkers and non-drinkers. That alone has to put them more at risk for incapacitated rape than other women. That seems less useful than one might hope. It certainly helps explain the high incidence of women experiencing rape, and the high rate of multiple experiences.
But it undercuts, at least for me, the meaningfulness of the data on prior experiences predicting future ones. The Sexual Experiences Survey as revised in or thereabouts is what the study used. It may have been Syracuse. Two of the authors were at Brown, and one at an institute in Syracuse, but it occurs to me that Carey came to Brown from Syracuse. So it could well have been Syracuse where the actual study was done. I looked at the study you linked to.
There are a few multivariate regressions reported in Exhibit see commentary pages to These allow you to look at the influence of a factor while trying to control for the other factors. Even after controlling for factors like drug and alcohol use, number of male sexual partners, demographics, etc. Exhibit states that It looks like the women had been in college for a little less than 2 years on average when they answered the survey, but on the other hand I hopefully? OTOH, the girls under 16 who go to parties with a lot of drinking probably are at a huge risk of sexual assault.
It could well be that the risk of sexual assault per year for girls age does not rise with age. Maybe this has been addressed already…in the gazzilion pages of posts.
